My Account Log Out

reorder

Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 9

New Orleans Saints vs Baltimore Ravens

Lamar Jackson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+118/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -134 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Baltimore Ravens offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

Lamar Jackson has been among the best TD passers in the league this year, averaging a stellar 1.88 per game while grading out in the 89th percentile.

The New Orleans Saints cornerbacks grade out as the worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

The New Orleans Saints pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.55 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the slowest in the NFL since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 3rd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 58.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Baltimore Ravens have run the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 55.9 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Lamar Jackson to attempt 34.1 passes in this contest, on average: the 5th-least of all quarterbacks.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 3rd-lowest clip in the league vs. the New Orleans Saints defense this year (65.2%).

More Lamar Jackson Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™