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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 1

New York Jets vs Baltimore Ravens

Lamar Jackson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -115.
  • The Baltimore Ravens have called the most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 68.8 plays per game.
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Baltimore Ravens O-line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game stats across the board.
  • Opposing teams have completed passes at the 3rd-highest level in the NFL versus the New York Jets defense since the start of last season (74.4%).
  • The New York Jets linebackers project as the worst group of LBs in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

  • The Ravens are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 2nd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 48.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 4th-least pass-heavy team in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 54.1% red zone pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Lamar Jackson to attempt 28.9 passes in this contest, on average: the 3rd-least of all QBs.

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