Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Lamar Jackson

QB · Baltimore Ravens

Rushing Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026 7:57 PM EST

Analysis

Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 49.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 38.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Ravens are a 3.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to run on 47.2% of their plays: the 5th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
In this contest, Lamar Jackson is projected by our trusted projection set to garner the 5th-most carries out of all quarterbacks with 6.3.
Lamar Jackson isn't afraid to run the ball himself, accounting for 16.0% of his offense's carries this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.
With a terrific record of 20.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (76th percentile), Lamar Jackson ranks as one of the best rushing QBs in football since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects this game to have the 11th-worst pace among all games this week, averaging 26.89 seconds per play based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The 3rd-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Baltimore Ravens since the start of last season (only 52.2 per game on average).