Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Lamar Jackson

QB · Baltimore Ravens

Rushing Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs New Orleans Saints · Week 2, 2026

Updated Sep 20, 2026 3:47 PM EST

Analysis

Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-113/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 40.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 39.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's line implies an extreme running game script for the Ravens, who are a massive favorite by 8.5 points.
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Ravens to run on 50.2% of their downs: the 2nd-highest frequency among all teams this week.
Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are predicted by the projections to run 66.8 total plays in this contest: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects Lamar Jackson to total 6.9 carries in this game, on balance: the 4th-most out of all quarterbacks.
With a remarkable rate of 20.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (78th percentile), Lamar Jackson ranks as one of the best running quarterbacks in the NFL since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The 3rd-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Baltimore Ravens since the start of last season (a lowly 52.2 per game on average).
The New Orleans Saints safeties profile as the 23rd-worst collection of safeties in the NFL last year with their run defense.