Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NFL · Player Props

Lamar Jackson

QB · Baltimore Ravens

Rushing Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 1, 2026

Updated Sep 13, 2026 3:37 PM EST

Analysis

Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (+102/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ 0 before it was bet up to 40.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's line indicates a rushing game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 3 points.
The projections expect the Baltimore Ravens as the 9th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 43.9% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the Ravens offense to be the 5th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 27.57 seconds per snap.
In this week's game, Lamar Jackson is predicted by the predictive model to accumulate the 8th-most rush attempts out of all quarterbacks with 5.6.
Accounting for 17.5% of his offense's run game usage last year (85th percentile when it comes to QBs), Lamar Jackson's mobility makes him a dangerous weapon on the ground.

Favors Under

The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.
The Indianapolis Colts defense has had the 6th-best efficiency against opposing running games last year, conceding just 4.11 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).