Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Lamar Jackson

NFL · Player Props

Lamar Jackson

QB · Baltimore Ravens

Rushing Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos · Week 9, 2024

Updated Nov 3, 2024 8:26 PM EST

Analysis

Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (+102/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 47.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Ravens are an enormous 9-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
The leading projections forecast the Ravens as the most run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 52.1% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are predicted by the projections to run 65.9 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week.
In this contest, Lamar Jackson is anticipated by the model to earn the most carries out of all quarterbacks with 11.0.
Comprising 31.0% of his offense's run game usage this year (100th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks), Lamar Jackson's mobility makes him a dangerous weapon as a ball-carrier.

Favors Under

The Broncos defense boasts the 5th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, allowing just 4.05 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Denver's collection of DTs has been outstanding this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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