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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Baltimore Ravens vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 55.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 54.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Ravens are a massive 8-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • The predictive model expects the Ravens to be the most run-focused team among all teams this week with a 51.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The 8th-most plays in the league have been called by the Ravens this year (a monstrous 60.0 per game on average).
  • The projections expect Lamar Jackson to total 9.8 carries this week, on balance: the most out of all QBs.
  • Taking on 32.0% of his offense's rush attempts this year (95th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks), Lamar Jackson's mobility makes him a serious weapon with his legs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to have just 125.6 plays on offense called: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
  • When it comes to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Washington's LB corps has been terrific this year, profiling as the 4th-best in football.

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