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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Houston Texans vs Baltimore Ravens

Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (+110/-141).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 46.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A running game script is suggested by the Ravens being a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game.

The projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to be the 3rd-most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 49.1% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect Lamar Jackson to total 9.0 rush attempts this week, on balance: the 4th-most out of all quarterbacks.

Lamar Jackson isn't afraid to run the ball himself, making up 27.0% of his offense's rushing play calls this year, putting him in the 98th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.

With an impressive record of 52.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (100th percentile), Lamar Jackson places as one of the best running quarterbacks in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect this game to chug along at the 11th-slowest tempo on the slate this week, averaging 26.55 seconds per play based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.

This year, the deficient Texans run defense has surrendered a colossal 4.13 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's running game: the 27th-largest rate in the NFL.

The Houston Texans linebackers profile as the 5th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

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