Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Lamar Jackson

NFL · Player Props

Lamar Jackson

QB · Baltimore Ravens

Rushing Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (+102/-134).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 50.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 49.5 @ -134.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's spread indicates a running game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 4 points.
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to run on 49.8% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest clip on the slate this week.
In this week's contest, Lamar Jackson is expected by the projections to earn the 2nd-most rush attempts out of all quarterbacks with 10.3.
Accounting for 30.6% of his team's rush attempts this year (98th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks), Lamar Jackson's mobility makes him a significant threat in Baltimore's rushing attack.
With a fantastic tally of 2.87 yards-after-contact (78th percentile), Lamar Jackson stands as one of the leading rushing quarterbacks in the league this year.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the 4th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.09 seconds per play.
Lamar Jackson's 53.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season shows a meaningful decrease in his running proficiency over last season's 66.0 figure.
Lamar Jackson's 5.88 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season conveys a meaningful regression in his rushing talent over last season's 7.94 figure.
This year, the fierce Jaguars run defense has given up a puny 97.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 8th-best in football.

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