Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Lamar Jackson

NFL · Player Props

Lamar Jackson

QB · Baltimore Ravens

Rushing Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 8, 2022 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 60.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 63.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Lamar Jackson to accrue 8.6 carries in this contest, on average: the 3rd-most of all quarterbacks.
THE BLITZ projects Lamar Jackson to be much more involved in his team's rushing attack this week (32.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (22.4% in games he has played).
Lamar Jackson has run for a lot more yards per game (70.0) this season than he did last season (63.0).
Lamar Jackson's running effectiveness has gotten better this season, notching 8.63 yards-per-carry vs a measly 5.98 mark last season.
Lamar Jackson has been among the top QBs in football at picking up extra running yardage, averaging a terrific 3.84 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 90th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 41.3% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens have run the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 55.9 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The New Orleans Saints defensive ends grade out as the 3rd-best group of DEs in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

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