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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-151/+114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 57.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 54.5 @ +114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Ravens are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects Lamar Jackson to accrue 9.6 rush attempts in this game, on average: the least of all QBs.
  • THE BLITZ projects Lamar Jackson to be a much bigger part of his offense's rushing attack this week (35.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (25.2% in games he has played).
  • Lamar Jackson has run for many more yards per game (75.0) this season than he did last season (63.0).
  • Lamar Jackson's ground efficiency has improved this year, notching 9.16 yards-per-carry compared to just 5.98 rate last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 9th-least run-centric team in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 36.7% run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Baltimore Ravens have called the 4th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 53.3 plays per game.

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