Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Lamar Jackson

NFL · Player Props

Lamar Jackson

QB · Baltimore Ravens

Rushing Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 7:31 PM EST

Analysis

Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-151/+114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 57.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 54.5 @ +114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Ravens are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Lamar Jackson to accrue 9.6 rush attempts in this game, on average: the least of all QBs.
THE BLITZ projects Lamar Jackson to be a much bigger part of his offense's rushing attack this week (35.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (25.2% in games he has played).
Lamar Jackson has run for many more yards per game (75.0) this season than he did last season (63.0).
Lamar Jackson's ground efficiency has improved this year, notching 9.16 yards-per-carry compared to just 5.98 rate last year.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 9th-least run-centric team in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 36.7% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens have called the 4th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 53.3 plays per game.

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