Lamar Jackson Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Lamar Jackson

NFL · Player Props

Lamar Jackson

QB · Baltimore Ravens

Rushing TD

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 28, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Lamar Jackson Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+194/-289).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -279 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -289.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Ravens to call the 6th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Lamar Jackson isn't afraid to run the ball himself near the end zone, accounting for 25.7% of his [OFFENSE_TEAMS]'s red zone rush attempts this year (95th percentile among quarterbacks).
Lamar Jackson has rushed for 0.29 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the biggest marks in the NFL among quarterbacks (89th percentile).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defensive ends project as the 2nd-worst collection of DEs in football this year in regard to run defense.

Favors Under

The Baltimore Ravens have run the 7th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 54.1 plays per game.
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year at blocking for the run game.
Opposing teams have run for the 7th-least touchdowns in football (0.57 per game) vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year.

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