Lamar Jackson Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Lamar Jackson

NFL · Player Props

Lamar Jackson

QB · Baltimore Ravens

Rushing TD

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 7:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Lamar Jackson Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+198/-275).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Ravens are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Lamar Jackson to be much more involved in his offense's rushing attack near the goal line this week (31.1% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (22.7% in games he has played).
Lamar Jackson has rushed for 0.33 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the largest figures in the league among quarterbacks (95th percentile).
Opposing squads have rushed for the 2nd-most TDs in football (1.67 per game) versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year.
The Cleveland Browns defensive tackles profile as the worst unit in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens have called the 4th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 53.3 plays per game.

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