Lamar Jackson Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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NFL · Player Props

Lamar Jackson

QB · Baltimore Ravens

Passing Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Tennessee Titans · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 1, 2026 1:03 PM EST

Analysis

Lamar Jackson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 224.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 349.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 224.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Lamar Jackson's 67.9% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects a meaningful boost in his passing accuracy over last year's 63.7% mark.
With a fantastic 8.73 adjusted yards-per-target (94th percentile) this year, Lamar Jackson rates among the most efficient QBs in the league.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 3rd-highest rate in the NFL vs. the Titans defense since the start of last season (74.8% Adjusted Completion%).

Favors Under

This game's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Ravens, who are a huge favorite by 11.5 points.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Ravens to pass on 46.8% of their plays: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see only 124.6 offensive plays run: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week.
The Ravens have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 52.3 plays per game.
In this game, Lamar Jackson is projected by the model to have the fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 27.3.