Lamar Jackson Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Lamar Jackson

QB · Baltimore Ravens

Passing Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026 8:32 PM EST

Analysis

Lamar Jackson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 243.5 (-104/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 299.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 243.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cowboys defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (33.5 per game) since the start of last season.
With a fantastic 8.34 adjusted yards-per-target (87th percentile) this year, Lamar Jackson rates as one of the best per-play passers in the league.
Since the start of last season, the shaky Cowboys defense has been torched for a monstrous 75.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the worst rate in the league.
The Dallas Cowboys defensive ends rank as the 3rd-worst DE corps in the NFL since the start of last season with their pass rush.

Favors Under

The Ravens are a 3.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Ravens to pass on 52.8% of their plays: the 5th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects this game to have the 11th-worst pace among all games this week, averaging 26.89 seconds per play based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The 3rd-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Baltimore Ravens since the start of last season (only 52.2 per game on average).
In this week's contest, Lamar Jackson is predicted by the projection model to have the 10th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 31.4.