Lamar Jackson Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Lamar Jackson

QB · Baltimore Ravens

Passing Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs New Orleans Saints · Week 2, 2026

Updated Sep 20, 2026 4:27 PM EST

Analysis

Lamar Jackson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 199.5 (-126/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 249.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 199.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are predicted by the projections to run 66.8 total plays in this contest: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.
Lamar Jackson is positioned as one of the best per-play passers in football since the start of last season, averaging a fantastic 8.34 adjusted yards-per-target while ranking in the 94th percentile.

Favors Under

This game's line implies an extreme running game script for the Ravens, who are a massive favorite by 8.5 points.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Ravens to pass on 49.8% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
The 3rd-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Baltimore Ravens since the start of last season (a lowly 52.2 per game on average).
In this week's contest, Lamar Jackson is projected by the model to have the 6th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 30.7.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Saints defense since the start of last season: 3rd-fewest in the NFL.