Lamar Jackson Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NFL · Player Props

Lamar Jackson

QB · Baltimore Ravens

Passing Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 1, 2026

Updated Sep 13, 2026 4:32 PM EST

Analysis

Lamar Jackson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 224.5 (+114/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 299.5 @ -2043 before it was bet down to 224.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Ravens offense to be the 5th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 27.57 seconds per snap.
The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.
Opposing offenses have averaged 36.2 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense last year: 2nd-most in football.
With a terrific 8.12 adjusted yards-per-target (91st percentile) last year, Lamar Jackson places among the best per-play QBs in football.
Last year, the feeble Indianapolis Colts defense has surrendered a staggering 251.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing offenses: the worst in the league.

Favors Under

This game's line indicates a rushing game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 3 points.
The model projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 9th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 56.1% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
In this week's contest, Lamar Jackson is predicted by the projections to wind up with the 9th-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 32.8.
When it comes to protecting the passer (and the significance it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Ravens profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL last year.