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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Baltimore Ravens vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 219.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 218.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 219.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Baltimore Ravens profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 3rd-highest rate in the league against the Raiders defense since the start of last season (73.0% Adjusted Completion%).
  • The Raiders defense has struggled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 5.97 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season: the most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Ravens being a heavy 7-point favorite this week.
  • The projections expect the Ravens as the 2nd-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 50.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the 9th-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 28.56 seconds per play.
  • The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • The projections expect Lamar Jackson to attempt 30.1 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 2nd-fewest among all QBs.

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