Lamar Jackson Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Lamar Jackson

NFL · Player Props

Lamar Jackson

QB · Baltimore Ravens

Passing Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 27, 2022 11:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Lamar Jackson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 209.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Ravens to call the 6th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
The Baltimore Ravens have utilized play action on 29.2% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (8th-most in the league), making the defense think run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Baltimore Ravens have run the 7th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 54.1 plays per game.
Lamar Jackson has thrown for many fewer yards per game (205.0) this season than he did last season (238.0).
Opposing quarterbacks have passed for the 5th-least yards in football (just 201.0 per game) versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 9th-lowest clip in the league vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year (67.1%).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency this year, allowing 6.55 yards-per-target: the 4th-least in football.

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