Lamar Jackson Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Lamar Jackson

QB · Baltimore Ravens

Pass Attempts

Dallas Cowboys vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 3, 2024

Updated Sep 22, 2024 8:02 PM EST

Analysis

Lamar Jackson Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 132.2 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.

Favors Under

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Ravens to pass on 54.4% of their chances: the 7th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
Our trusted projections expect Lamar Jackson to throw 31.8 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 9th-fewest among all QBs.
Opposing QBs teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the Dallas Cowboys, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a mere 29.3 per game) since the start of last season.