Lamar Jackson Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Lamar Jackson

NFL · Player Props

Lamar Jackson

QB · Baltimore Ravens

Interceptions

Baltimore Ravens vs Washington Commanders · Week 6, 2024

Updated Oct 13, 2024 8:06 PM EST

Analysis

Lamar Jackson Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 8th-most plays in the league have been called by the Ravens this year (a monstrous 60.0 per game on average).
When it comes to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Baltimore Ravens ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year.
Washington's defense ranks as the worst in football this year as it relates to generating interceptions, averaging a mere 0.00 per game.
When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Washington's CB corps has been atrocious this year, projecting as the worst in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Ravens are a massive 8-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
Our trusted projections expect the Ravens to be the least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 48.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to have just 125.6 plays on offense called: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
In this week's game, Lamar Jackson is expected by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 5th-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 28.2.
In logging just 0.15 interceptions per game this year, Lamar Jackson places among the leading QBs in the NFL (86th percentile).

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