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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Interceptions
Player Prop Week 1

Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens

Lamar Jackson Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Ravens are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their typical game plan.

The predictive model expects the Ravens to run the 10th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.6 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Baltimore offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in football last year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game stats across the board.

The Kansas City Chiefs have intercepted 0.57 targets per game last year, grading out as the 8th-worst defense in football by this metric

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Ravens to pass on 55.1% of their chances: the 7th-lowest clip among all teams this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Chiefs defense last year: 4th-fewest in football.

Lamar Jackson has averaged a lowly 0.48 interceptions per game last year, grading out in the 82nd percentile among quarterbacks.

When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Kansas City's group of CBs has been excellent last year, profiling as the 3rd-best in football.

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