Lamar Jackson Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+100/-140).
Key Factors
Favors Over
Our trusted projections expect the Ravens offensive blueprint to lean 3.2% more towards the passing attack than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Todd Monken now calling the plays.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
When talking about pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Ravens grades out as the 9th-best in the league this year.
The Arizona cornerbacks profile as the worst group of CBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
Favors Under
With a 9.5-point advantage, the Ravens are a huge favorite this week, implying much more of a focus on running than their standard approach.
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Ravens to pass on 51.8% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
The model projects the Ravens offense to be the 6th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.13 seconds per snap.
In this game, Lamar Jackson is projected by the projection model to have the 5th-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 31.0.
Lamar Jackson has averaged just 0.46 interceptions per game this year, checking in at the 81st percentile among quarterbacks.