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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Interceptions
Player Prop Week 3

Baltimore Ravens vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Baltimore Ravens boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.8% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Baltimore Ravens offensive line ranks as the 3rd-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass game stats across the board.
  • The Indianapolis Colts have intercepted 0.61 passes per game since the start of last season, grading out as the 9th-worst defense in the league by this stat
  • The Indianapolis Colts safeties rank as the 2nd-worst collection of safeties in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a massive 7.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 49.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Lamar Jackson to attempt 30.6 passes in this contest, on average: the 4th-least of all QBs.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense since the start of last season: 8th-least in the NFL.

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