Lamar Jackson Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Lamar Jackson

NFL · Player Props

Lamar Jackson

QB · Baltimore Ravens

Completions

Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos · Week 9, 2024

Updated Nov 3, 2024 5:51 PM EST

Analysis

Lamar Jackson Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-103/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are predicted by the projections to run 65.9 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week.
Opposing QBs have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game versus the Broncos defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Ravens are an enormous 9-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 47.9% of their downs: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast Lamar Jackson to attempt 29.2 passes in this week's game, on average: the fewest among all QBs.
As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Denver's group of safeties has been exceptional this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in the league.

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