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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Completions
Player Prop Week 6

Baltimore Ravens vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 8th-most plays in the league have been called by the Ravens this year (a monstrous 60.0 per game on average).
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Baltimore Ravens ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year.
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Washington's CB corps has been atrocious this year, projecting as the worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a massive 8-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Ravens to be the least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 48.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to have just 125.6 plays on offense called: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
  • In this week's game, Lamar Jackson is expected by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 5th-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 28.2.

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