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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Completions
Player Prop Week 8

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Ravens to call the 6th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Baltimore Ravens offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • The Baltimore Ravens have utilized play action on 29.2% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (8th-most in the league), making the defense think run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Baltimore Ravens have run the 7th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 54.1 plays per game.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 9th-lowest clip in the league vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year (67.1%).
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerbacks rank as the 4th-best group of CBs in the league this year in covering receivers.
  • The Baltimore Ravens offensive line has afforded their quarterback a measly 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

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