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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Completions
Player Prop Week 7

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-107/-123).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -123.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Baltimore Ravens offensive line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
  • The Cleveland Browns safeties rank as the 3rd-worst safety corps in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Baltimore Ravens have utilized play action on 29.2% of their passing plays since the start of last season (8th-most in football), making the defense think run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 6th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 56.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Baltimore Ravens have called the 4th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 53.3 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Lamar Jackson to attempt 32.1 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 6th-least of all QBs.

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