Lamar Jackson Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Lamar Jackson

NFL · Player Props

Lamar Jackson

QB · Baltimore Ravens

Carries

Baltimore Ravens vs Tennessee Titans · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 1, 2026 11:27 AM EST

Analysis

Lamar Jackson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-600/+340).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Ravens, who are a huge favorite by 11.5 points.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens to run on 53.2% of their plays: the highest frequency among all teams this week.
The predictive model expects Lamar Jackson to garner 6.4 rush attempts in this contest, on balance: the 5th-most out of all QBs.
Lamar Jackson isn't afraid to be involved in the run game, accounting for 15.9% of his team's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 81st percentile among quarterbacks.

Favors Under

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see only 124.6 offensive plays run: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week.
The Ravens have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 52.3 plays per game.
When it comes to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Tennessee's group of safeties has been phenomenal since the start of last season, profiling as the best in the NFL.

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