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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Carries
Player Prop Week 4

Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills

Lamar Jackson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A running game script is indicated by the Ravens being a 3-point favorite this week.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Ravens to run on 51.5% of their plays: the greatest frequency among all teams this week.

In this contest, Lamar Jackson is forecasted by the predictive model to notch the most carries out of all QBs with 10.2.

Lamar Jackson isn't afraid to run the ball himself, making up 34.4% of his team's rushing play calls this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile among quarterbacks.

The Buffalo Bills defensive tackles profile as the 9th-worst collection of DTs in football since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to see just 123.0 offensive plays run: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week.

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