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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Carries
Player Prop Week 8

Arizona Cardinals vs Baltimore Ravens

Lamar Jackson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 9.5-point advantage, the Ravens are a huge favorite this week, implying much more of a focus on running than their standard approach.

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens to run on 48.2% of their downs: the 2nd-highest clip among all teams this week.

Our trusted projections expect Lamar Jackson to notch 9.6 rush attempts this week, on average: the 2nd-most out of all quarterbacks.

Accounting for 31.2% of his offense's rush attempts this year (100th percentile among quarterbacks), Lamar Jackson's mobility marks him as a serious threat as a ball-carrier.

As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Arizona's unit has been atrocious this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Ravens offensive blueprint to lean 3.2% more towards the passing attack than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Todd Monken now calling the plays.

The model projects the Ravens offense to be the 6th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.13 seconds per snap.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

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