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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Carries
Player Prop Week 3

Baltimore Ravens vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Ravens are a massive 7.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 50.3% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Lamar Jackson to accumulate 10.0 carries in this contest, on average: the most of all quarterbacks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Baltimore Ravens boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.8% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • The Indianapolis Colts defensive tackles profile as the 2nd-best DT corps in football since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

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