Lamar Jackson Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Lamar Jackson

NFL · Player Props

Lamar Jackson

QB · Baltimore Ravens

Carries

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Lamar Jackson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's spread indicates a running game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 4 points.
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to run on 49.8% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest clip on the slate this week.
In this week's contest, Lamar Jackson is expected by the projections to earn the 2nd-most rush attempts out of all quarterbacks with 10.3.
Accounting for 30.6% of his team's rush attempts this year (98th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks), Lamar Jackson's mobility makes him a significant threat in Baltimore's rushing attack.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the 4th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.09 seconds per play.

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