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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Carries
Player Prop Week 1

Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-122/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ +104 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Ravens are a big 9.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 2nd-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 48.5% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Ravens to call the 7th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Lamar Jackson to garner 10.0 rush attempts in this contest, on average: the 4th-most of all quarterbacks.
  • Lamar Jackson isn't afraid to call his own number, accounting for 28.7% of his team's rush attempts since the start of last season, ranking in the 95th percentile among QBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Baltimore Ravens will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.5% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).

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