Lamar Jackson Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Lamar Jackson

NFL · Player Props

Lamar Jackson

QB · Baltimore Ravens

Carries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 28, 2022 3:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Lamar Jackson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -143 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Ravens to call the 6th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Lamar Jackson to garner 9.0 carries in this game, on average: the 3rd-most of all QBs.
THE BLITZ projects Lamar Jackson to be a more important option in his team's running game this week (32.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (23.3% in games he has played).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defensive ends project as the 2nd-worst collection of DEs in football this year in regard to run defense.

Favors Under

The Baltimore Ravens have run the 7th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 54.1 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year at blocking for the run game.

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