Lamar Jackson Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Lamar Jackson

NFL · Player Props

Lamar Jackson

QB · Baltimore Ravens

Carries

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 7:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Lamar Jackson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-109/-131).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Ravens are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Lamar Jackson to accrue 9.6 rush attempts in this game, on average: the least of all QBs.
THE BLITZ projects Lamar Jackson to be a much bigger part of his offense's rushing attack this week (35.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (25.2% in games he has played).
The Cleveland Browns defensive tackles profile as the worst unit in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 9th-least run-centric team in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 36.7% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens have called the 4th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 53.3 plays per game.

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