Kyren Williams Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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NFL · Player Props

Kyren Williams

RB · Los Angeles Rams

Touchdowns

Los Angeles Rams vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 8, 2026

Updated Oct 30, 2026 2:13 PM EST

Analysis

Kyren Williams Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-136/+130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Rams as the 7th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 60.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Right now, the 10th-quickest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Los Angeles Rams.
The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
When it comes to air yards, Kyren Williams grades out in the towering 100th percentile among running backs this year, accumulating a monstrous 15.0 per game. (given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more noteworthy than it sounds since most RBs average negative air yards).
Kyren Williams's 26.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 13.6.

Favors Under

The Rams are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Los Angeles Chargers, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in football (just 30.7 per game) this year.
Among all RBs, Kyren Williams grades out in the 92nd percentile for red zone rush attempts this year, accounting for 57.1% of the workload in his team's ground game near the goal line.
Kyren Williams has run for 0.71 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the largest figures in football when it comes to running backs (90th percentile).
This year, the weak Chargers run defense has been gouged for a massive 1.50 rushing TDs per game to opposing squads: the largest rate in the NFL.