Kyren Williams Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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NFL · Player Props

Kyren Williams

RB · Los Angeles Rams

Touchdowns

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 10, 2026

Updated Nov 12, 2026 1:12 PM EST

Analysis

Kyren Williams Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-146/+116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Right now, the 5th-most pass-oriented offense in the league (63.0% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Rams.
The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 27.68 seconds per snap.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
When talking about air yards, Kyren Williams ranks in the towering 99th percentile among RBs this year, totaling a remarkable 12.0 per game. (given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more remarkable than it sounds since most RBs have negative air yards).
Kyren Williams's 23.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 13.6.

Favors Under

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Rams being an enormous 9.5-point favorite in this week's game.
Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to test the pass defense of the Arizona Cardinals, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in football (a measly 29.9 per game) this year.
Kyren Williams has received 58.5% of his offense's red zone rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile when it comes to RBs.
Kyren Williams has rushed for 0.60 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the biggest figures in the league among running backs (88th percentile).
This year, the imposing Arizona Cardinals defense has conceded a measly 74.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs: the 4th-best rate in the league.