Kyren Williams Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Kyren Williams

NFL · Player Props

Kyren Williams

RB · Los Angeles Rams

Touchdowns

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 7, 2025

Updated Oct 17, 2025 6:32 PM EST

Analysis

Kyren Williams Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-125/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the moment, the 6th-most pass-centric team in the league (63.2% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Los Angeles Rams.
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Rams are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 67.8 total plays in this game: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.
Opposing offenses have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: 5th-most in the league.
Kyren Williams has put up significantly more air yards this season (10.0 per game) than he did last season (-2.0 per game).
Kyren Williams's 18.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 11.0.

Favors Under

With a 3-point advantage, the Rams are favored in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on running than their standard approach.
The projections expect Kyren Williams to be a more important option in his team's rushing attack near the goal line this week (82.7% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (62.5% in games he has played).
The Los Angeles Rams O-line profiles as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.
Kyren Williams's possession skills have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 89.9% to 86.5%.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 4th-lowest clip in the league against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year (65.6% Adjusted Completion%).

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