Kyren Williams Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Kyren Williams

RB · Los Angeles Rams

Rushing Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs New York Giants · Week 2, 2026

Updated Sep 21, 2026 7:32 PM EST

Analysis

Kyren Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 65.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 61.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 65.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 7-point advantage, the Rams are heavily favored in this week's game, indicating much more of a focus on running than their usual game plan.
In this week's contest, Kyren Williams is forecasted by the model to land in the 75th percentile among running backs with 12.4 carries.
Kyren Williams has generated 69.0 adjusted rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the highest marks in the league among running backs (96th percentile).
Kyren Williams's rushing efficiency (5.34 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in football since the start of last season (95th percentile among running backs).
The Giants defense owns the worst efficiency against opposing running games since the start of last season, conceding 5.43 adjusted yards-per-carry.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Rams as the 2nd-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 43.0% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The projections expect Kyren Williams to be a less important option in his offense's running game in this week's contest (46.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (60.1% in games he has played).
When it comes to the linebackers' role in run defense, New York's LB corps has been very bad last year, projecting as the 9th-worst in the league. in the league.