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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

New Orleans Saints vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Kyren Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 83.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 82.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 83.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to have 135.4 total plays called: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.
  • In this week's game, Kyren Williams is forecasted by the model to place in the 98th percentile among RBs with 19.9 carries.
  • Kyren Williams has received 82.4% of his team's carries this year, placing him in the 100th percentile among running backs.
  • The Saints defense has produced the 2nd-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, yielding 5.19 adjusted yards-per-carry.
  • The Saints defensive tackles project as the 2nd-worst group of DTs in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Rams to run on 38.3% of their chances: the 4th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Kyren Williams's 79.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year represents a remarkable regression in his running proficiency over last year's 99.0 rate.
  • Kyren Williams's rushing efficiency has worsened this season, averaging a mere 4.21 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 5.20 figure last season.
  • With a dreadful total of 2.67 yards after contact (15th percentile) this year, Kyren Williams places among the weakest running backs in the NFL.

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