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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Kyren Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 86.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 83.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 86.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A rushing game script is implied by the Rams being a 4-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • At only 28.08 seconds per play, the Los Angeles Rams offense is positioned as the 9th-fastest paced in football (in a neutral context) this year.
  • The leading projections forecast Kyren Williams to notch 20.5 rush attempts this week, on balance, putting him in the 98th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • After taking on 72.9% of his team's rush attempts last year, Kyren Williams has been more involved in the run game this year, now comprising 83.1%.
  • When it comes to the safeties' role in defending against the run, New England's collection of safeties has been atrocious this year, ranking as the 5th-worst in football. in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to run on 40.4% of their plays: the 8th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • Kyren Williams has rushed for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (79.0) this year than he did last year (99.0).
  • Kyren Williams's 4.0 adjusted yards per carry this season reflects a noteworthy decline in his running talent over last season's 5.2 mark.
  • Kyren Williams checks in as one of the worst RBs in the league at grinding out extra ground yardage, averaging a lowly 2.53 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 14th percentile.

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