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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Detroit Lions vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Kyren Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 60.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 59.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 131.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Rams have called the 7th-most plays in the league last year, averaging a monstrous 60.1 plays per game.
  • In this week's game, Kyren Williams is forecasted by the projection model to finish in the 82nd percentile among RBs with 13.9 carries.
  • Kyren Williams has averaged 99.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground last year, one of the highest marks in football when it comes to running backs (100th percentile).
  • With a stellar record of 5.20 adjusted yards per carry (95th percentile), Kyren Williams places among the best running backs in football last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line indicates a passing game script for the Rams, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
  • The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Rams as the 3rd-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 37.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The projections expect Kyren Williams to be much less involved in his offense's rushing attack in this week's game (58.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been last year (73.1% in games he has played).
  • Last year, the imposing Lions run defense has given up a meager 89.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 3rd-best in the league.

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