Kyren Williams Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Kyren Williams

NFL · Player Props

Kyren Williams

RB · Los Angeles Rams

Rushing Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Kyren Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 62.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 63.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast Kyren Williams to earn 15.6 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking him in the 86th percentile when it comes to RBs.
Kyren Williams has been a more integral piece of his team's running game this year (68.6% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (14.1%).
Kyren Williams's 81.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season reflects an impressive boost in his running ability over last season's 15.0 mark.
Kyren Williams's rushing effectiveness has been refined this season, accumulating 4.98 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a mere 3.37 figure last season.
With an exceptional rate of 3.13 yards after contact (78th percentile), Kyren Williams ranks among the strongest RBs in the league this year.

Favors Under

The model projects the Rams as the 9th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 40.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The model projects the Rams to run the 8th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.

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