Kyren Williams Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Kyren Williams

NFL · Player Props

Kyren Williams

RB · Los Angeles Rams

Receptions

Philadelphia Eagles vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 1, 2026 11:02 PM EST

Analysis

Kyren Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+112/-148).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to be the 9th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 59.5% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
In this week's contest, Kyren Williams is anticipated by the predictive model to land in the 76th percentile when it comes to running backs with 2.7 targets.
Kyren Williams's 21.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 13.6.
With a terrific 2.0 adjusted receptions per game (81st percentile) since the start of last season, Kyren Williams rates as one of the top RBs in the pass game in the NFL.
Kyren Williams's 92.8% Adjusted Catch% this season reflects a meaningful growth in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 81.8% mark.

Favors Under

The Rams are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
The projections expect the Rams to call the 9th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.6 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
Since the start of last season, the strong Philadelphia Eagles defense has yielded a meager 76.7% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 5th-lowest rate in the league.

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