Kyren Williams Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Kyren Williams

RB · Los Angeles Rams

Receptions

Los Angeles Rams vs New York Giants · Week 2, 2026

Updated Sep 21, 2026 8:17 PM EST

Analysis

Kyren Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-101/-101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +127 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -101.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
With a high 55.6% Route Participation% (91st percentile) since the start of last season, Kyren Williams stands as one of the pass-catching running backs with the biggest workloads in football.
The model projects Kyren Williams to accumulate 3.3 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 84th percentile among running backs.
With a stellar 1.9 adjusted catches per game (75th percentile) since the start of last season, Kyren Williams rates as one of the leading running backs in the pass game in the NFL.
Since the start of last season, the anemic New York Giants pass defense has been torched for a staggering 88.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the biggest rate in the NFL.

Favors Under

With a 7-point advantage, the Rams are heavily favored in this week's game, indicating much more of a focus on running than their usual game plan.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Rams to pass on 57.0% of their chances: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
The projections expect this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
In regards to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Rams profiles as the worst in the league since the start of last season.
As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, New York's group of safeties has been awful last year, profiling as the 9th-worst in the league.