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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Kyren Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -100 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 61.4% of their chances: the 5th-highest clip among all teams this week.
  • The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The 49ers defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, inciting opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (35.4 per game) since the start of last season.
  • With an impressive 68.0% Route Participation Rate (97th percentile) since the start of last season, Kyren Williams has been among the RB receiving threats with the most usage in the NFL.
  • The leading projections forecast Kyren Williams to accumulate 4.7 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile among running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to be the 3rd-most sluggish paced defense in football (context-neutralized) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 28.98 seconds per play.
  • With a subpar 70.1% Adjusted Completion Rate (7th percentile) since the start of last season, Kyren Williams ranks as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the league among running backs.
  • The 49ers linebackers rank as the 2nd-best LB corps in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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