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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Kyren Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Rams to be the 7th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The 3rd-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Rams since the start of last season (a colossal 60.7 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Kyren Williams has run a route on 68.4% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 97th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • This week, Kyren Williams is predicted by the projection model to find himself in the 89th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.9 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Arizona Cardinals, totaling the 2nd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 29.4 per game) since the start of last season.
  • Kyren Williams has been one of the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL when it comes to running backs, catching just 70.1% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 7th percentile.

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