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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Los Angeles Rams vs Buffalo Bills

Kyren Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-170/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -170.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Rams, who are -3.5-point underdogs.

The projections expect the Rams as the 6th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 63.2% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may slide.

Kyren Williams's 87.1% Adjusted Catch% this year conveys a noteable growth in his receiving proficiency over last year's 68.1% mark.

The Buffalo Bills linebackers grade out as the 2nd-worst group of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 126.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Kyren Williams's 10.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 17.5.

In regards to pass protection (and the ramifications it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams profiles as the 4th-worst in the league this year.

The Buffalo Bills pass defense has yielded the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (77.7%) vs. running backs this year (77.7%).

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