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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Los Angeles Rams vs Philadelphia Eagles

Kyren Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is implied by the Rams being a -3-point underdog in this game.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Rams to pass on 63.4% of their downs: the greatest clip among all teams this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to have 132.7 total plays called: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while rush volume may drop.

In this week's game, Kyren Williams is projected by the model to secure a spot in the 83rd percentile among running backs with 3.5 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Philadelphia Eagles, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 32.3 per game) this year.

Kyren Williams's 11.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 17.5.

The Los Angeles O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

This year, the formidable Philadelphia Eagles defense has yielded a feeble 81.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 8th-best rate in football.

As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Philadelphia's collection of LBs has been great this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in football.

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